Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 1
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 1
COS
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
COS
8 - 1
JUV
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 0
VIR
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
TPE
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |