Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
TPE
3 - 5
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
FIO
1 - 6
COS
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
CAI
1 - 0
COS
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
VIR
4 - 0
JUV
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 0
VIR
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAI
3 - 1
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
VIR
3 - 2
TPE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |