Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
COS
4 - 2
SGI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
COS
1 - 0
TPE
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PYU
5 - 0
TFI
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
TFI
1 - 0
PYU
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 0
TFI
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FIO
1 - 0
TFI
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
TFI
1 - 1
SGI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |