Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
COS
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COS
9 - 0
CAI
86%
11%
3%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COS
4 - 2
FIO
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 2
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
16%
25%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
3 - 0
PEN
85%
12%
3%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TFI
3 - 1
SGI
80%
14%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |