Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
5 - 2
COS
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COS
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
TFI
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SGI
1 - 1
TFI
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TFI
2 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 0
TFI
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |