Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
COS
21%
23%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 2
COS
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 0
TFI
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
0 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
FAE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |