Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAI
3 - 3
COS
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
COS
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 2
TFI
27%
25%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 1
DOM
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
TFI
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |