Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 3
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
37%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
COS
2 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 0
SGI
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 0
SGI
78%
16%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 2
TFI
9%
20%
71%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 1
DOM
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
3 - 1
TPE
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |