Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
COS
2 - 3
FIO
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
VIR
4 - 1
COS
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2007 |
CAI
2 - 3
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 3
COS
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 2
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TFI
1 - 2
TPE
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 0
TFI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
VIR
1 - 3
TFI
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |