Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 1
COS
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
COS
0 - 0
TPE
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SGI
0 - 2
COS
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COS
0 - 1
FOL
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
FIO
1 - 0
COS
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
SGI
2 - 4
TFI
13%
22%
64%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TFI
1 - 0
DOM
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
TPE
0 - 1
TFI
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |