Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
COS
1 - 3
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 4
COS
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
COS
6 - 3
TPE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
TFI
2 - 1
DOM
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
TFI
1 - 1
TPE
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 3
TFI
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
4 - 1
TFI
73%
17%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 3
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |