Cosmos vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
COS
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COS
2 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SGI
2 - 4
FIO
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 0
CAI
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -3 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
SGI
62%
22%
15%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 4
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +4 |