Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
2º
25
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
76%
17%
8%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
FAE
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 1
MUR
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +7 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
FOL
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 4
PEN
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
TFI
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |