Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 1
COS
79%
14%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
COS
0 - 5
FOL
13%
24%
63%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAI
3 - 0
COS
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
43%
24%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
TFI
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
JUV
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
DOM
2 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |