Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 1
COS
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COS
1 - 4
FAE
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 0
COS
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
PEN
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |