Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 3
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 2
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -3 |