Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 5
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 3
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 5
PEN
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DOM
2 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 0
PEN
17%
24%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | -1 |