Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TPE
0 - 0
COS
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FAE
2 - 0
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 1
COS
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
COS
0 - 0
TPE
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VIR
3 - 2
PEN
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 1
LIB
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |