Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SGI
0 - 1
COS
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
FIO
3 - 2
COS
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 1
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
TFI
2 - 1
PEN
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAE
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
0 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 1
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |