Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
RAP
2 - 0
COS
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
RAP
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
COS
1 - 3
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
SGI
2 - 3
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 0
FIO
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 1
JUV
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |