Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
COS
3 - 1
JUV
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
SGI
0 - 7
COS
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 1
DOM
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
TPE
1 - 2
PEN
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
FAE
3 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 2
FIO
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |