Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 3
COS
16%
22%
63%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TPE
5 - 2
COS
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
4 - 0
COS
59%
21%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 2
COS
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 1
VIR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
4 - 0
COS
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
6 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |