Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
COS
0 - 1
FAE
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
COS
2 - 5
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
SGI
1 - 6
COS
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
COS
3 - 1
FIO
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 4
MUR
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 3
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TFI
4 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |