Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
COS
1 - 2
FAE
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
2 - 2
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
COS
1 - 0
SGI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
LIB
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 1
MUR
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
34%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |