Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COS
2 - 2
FAE
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COS
4 - 3
SGI
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |