Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 4
COS
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
COS
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
TFI
4 - 0
COS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
COS
4 - 0
SGI
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 1
COS
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 2
SGI
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 4
VIR
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |