Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 0
COS
79%
14%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
COS
0 - 2
DOM
19%
23%
57%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
COS
1 - 2
FAE
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 3
LIB
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 1
TFI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LIB
5 - 0
SGI
76%
17%
7%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
LIB
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |