Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
COS
0 - 3
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COS
1 - 10
FAE
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
3 - 0
COS
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
DOM
5 - 3
COS
70%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
CAI
2 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 3
LIB
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |