Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 4
COS
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
COS
6 - 3
TPE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 1
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
29%
24%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |