Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
COS
2 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TPE
1 - 2
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 2
COS
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 4
LIB
26%
23%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
3 - 4
LIB
46%
23%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
TFI
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |