Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 1
COS
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
COS
5 - 1
SGI
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 1
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FAE
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |