Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
TPE
42%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 3
COS
39%
26%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
COS
4 - 0
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
30%
24%
45%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 3
FOL
25%
26%
48%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
FOL
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |