Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
35%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
FIO
1 - 0
COS
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
COS
1 - 0
JUV
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 0
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
0 - 2
FOL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 2
PEN
19%
23%
59%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 3
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 3
LIB
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |