Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COS
2 - 4
JUV
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TFI
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FAE
2 - 0
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FOL
0 - 4
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FOL
0 - 3
JUV
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
TPE
1 - 0
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAI
7 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |