Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COS
3 - 2
VIR
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 1
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 1
COS
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FOL
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 1
FOL
37%
24%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |