Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
COS
2 - 1
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
COS
3 - 1
JUV
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
SGI
0 - 7
COS
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
DOM
3 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
FOL
5 - 0
LIB
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |