Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
TPE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
FIO
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 4
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
CAI
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
JUV
1 - 1
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FOL
7 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
TPE
1 - 1
FOL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FOL
5 - 0
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |