Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
COS
1 - 0
TPE
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
COS
4 - 2
SMA
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 3
COS
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
FAE
0 - 2
FIO
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 1
FAE
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |