Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
76%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COS
2 - 3
TPE
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COS
2 - 5
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
COS
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
52%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
16%
22%
63%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FIO
5 - 0
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 1
BIR
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |