Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
TPE
4 - 2
COS
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
COS
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COS
3 - 0
SGI
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 3
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
DOM
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 3
DOM
63%
20%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 4
TPE
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |