Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
COS
3 - 2
TFI
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 1
COS
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
COS
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 5
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
FAE
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 2
FIO
24%
21%
55%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 6
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |