Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
COS
0 - 4
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |