Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 3
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
37%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
COS
2 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 5
FIO
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |