Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 2
COS
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
6 - 3
SGI
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
FIO
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
TPE
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
4 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |