Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 2
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAI
4 - 1
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
COS
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 2
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
TPE
4 - 2
FIO
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
CAI
0 - 0
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 4
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |