Cosmos vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 2
COS
37%
23%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 2
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAI
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 2
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |