Cosmos vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
48%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
43%
24%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
MUR
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 3
COS
16%
22%
63%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
MUR
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 3
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
TPE
15%
18%
68%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FAE
4 - 2
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |