Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 1
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 2
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
VIR
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
FAE
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FAE
0 - 2
TPE
7%
17%
76%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 3
FAE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 2
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAI
5 - 2
FAE
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |