Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 2
FIO
7%
17%
76%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COS
2 - 3
TPE
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COS
2 - 5
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FAE
0 - 0
CAI
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LIB
4 - 2
FAE
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FAE
0 - 1
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAE
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |