Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
COS
3 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COS
0 - 4
FAE
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COS
0 - 4
FAE
59%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
0 - 4
TPE
25%
25%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |